Good reading: Too
Big To Fail: How Wall Street and Washington Fought to Save the Financial
System—and Themselves by Andrew Sorkin (Viking, 2009) 544 pp.
Four years have passed since the
collapse of Bear Stearns, which ushered in twelve months of economic recession
and financial market upheaval. To
historians of the economic history of the United States and its financial
markets, the importance of this period is rivaled only by the Crash of ’29 and
the Great Depression. The causes and
consequences of the 2008-09 crisis will be debated and continue to be
controversial for decades to come, but the definitive narrative will likely
remain Sorkin’s Too Big To Fail. In 544 pages of gripping day-by-day
description of the major participants and developments, Sorkin admirably
captures the pulse of Wall Street and Washington during these unforgettable
months. The passage of four years
provides a fresh perspective for a re-read of this to-be classic, and the book
should be required reading for young professionals entering the investment
industry.
The most dramatic and historic
events of this chaotic year occurred in September of 2008. In less than 30 days, the financial landscape
was forever altered. Mortgage giants
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were taken over by the government. Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. Merrill Lynch was sold to Bank of America in
an eleventh-hour rescue. American International Group, the largest insurance company
in the U.S. ,
was put on government life support. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, in a desperate effort to avoid a
similar fate, rushed to become bank holding companies thereby gaining unlimited
access to the Federal Reserve’s discount window. The failure of Reserve Primary Fund triggered
a panic run on money-market funds that threatened to disrupt the entire
financial industry. The Dow Jones
Industrials commenced a plunge with unprecedented volatility that by March of
2009 measured 50%.
Sorkin’s narrative centers on the
indefatigable and at times frantic efforts of Treasury Secretary Paulson, Fed
Chairman Bernanke, and New York Fed head Geithner to steer the financial system
through this perfect storm. As they were
painfully aware, their actions constituted the biggest intrusion of the U.S. government
into free-market capitalism in the country’s history. For this they were and continue to be
condemned by many politicians and market commentators. Their defense is that their actions were
necessary to prevent financial and economic Armageddon. Bernanke stated in a critical meeting with skeptical
congressional leaders: “I spent my
career as an academic studying great depression. I can tell you from history that if we don’t
act in a big way, you can expect another great depression, and this time it is
going to be far, far worse.” In an oval
office meeting with President Bush, Paulson said: “If we don’t act boldly, Mr. President, we
could be in a depression deeper than the Great Depression.” Sorkin sides with Bernanke and Paulson: “To be sure, if the government had stood
aside and done nothing as a parade of financial giants filed for bankruptcy,
the result would have been a market cataclysm far worse than the one that
actually took place.”
If Paulson, Bernanke, and
Geithner were driven by a determination to save the U.S. economy, the heads of the
major Wall Street firms and U.S. Banks were motivated by less lofty
considerations. These titans of American
finance worshipped at the altar of personal status, money, and power. On occasion they expressed concern for their
shareholders and employees, but there is no mention of a desire to protect the
public good. An example occurred in
October, when the CEO’s of the 9 major firms were summoned by Paulson,
Bernanke, and Geithner to a make-or-break meeting to approve an injection of
taxpayer money into the financial system as a desperate step to restore
stability. With tens of millions of
American jobs at stake, the initial reaction of Merrill-Lynch CEO John Thain
was to complain that such a step might result in changes in Wall Street
executive compensation policies.
In an insightful epilogue penned
in 2009, Sorkin offered the sober conclusion that the big Wall Street firms and
banks remained too big to fail. He
asserted further that ego, greed, and a “vulture capitalism” that abuses
clients, which were a major ingredient in fomenting the turmoil, were still salient
characteristics of Wall Street. Nevertheless, much has changed since the years and months leading up to
2008, and the likelihood of a similar financial upheaval is now remote. The overheated housing market and abuses in
the mortgage industry, which precipitated the crisis, now seem to be a unique
phenomenon of the past. The banks and investment firms are much better
capitalized, much more sensitive to risk, and far more heavily regulated. The
government has also learned from the experience, and is far more vigilant and
better equipped to identify and respond to excesses before they imperil the
entire financial structure. In
retrospect, the cataclysm of 2008-09 created widespread economic suffering for
millions of Americans, but it also provided a beneficial wake-up call. Sorkin’s book will be a reminder to generations
to come of how perilous the situation was and thereby serve as a deterrent to a
future crisis.